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System reliability prediction with shared load and unknown component design details

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 August 2017

Zhengwei Hu  and
Xiaoping Du
Zhengwei Hu
Affiliation:
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Missouri University of Science and Technology, Rolla, Missouri, USA
Xiaoping Du*
Affiliation:
Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Missouri University of Science and Technology, Rolla, Missouri, USA
*
Reprint requests to: Xiaoping Du, Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Missouri University of Science and Technology, 400 West 13th Street, Toomey Hall 272, Rolla, MO 65409, USA. E-mail: [email protected]
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Abstract

In many system designs, it is a challenging task for system designers to predict the system reliability due to limited information about component designs, which is often proprietary to component suppliers. This research addresses this issue by considering the following situation: all the components share the same system load, and system designers know component reliabilities with respect to the component load, but do not know other information, such as component limit-state functions. The strategy is to reconstruct the equivalent component limit-state functions during the system design stage such that they can accurately reproduce component reliabilities. Because the system load is a common factor shared by all the reconstructed component limit-state functions, the component dependence can be captured implicitly. As a result, more accurate system reliability can be produced compared with traditional methods. An engineering example demonstrates the feasibility of the new system reliability method.

Keywords

Limit-State FunctionReliabilityStatistical DependenceSystem
Type
Special Issue Articles
Information
AI EDAM , Volume 31 , Special Issue 3: Uncertainty Quantification for Engineering Design , August 2017 , pp. 223 - 234
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2017 

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