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Estimates of the climate impact of future small-scale supersonic transport aircraft – results from the HISAC EU-project

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 February 2016

V. Grewe ,
M. Plohr ,
G. Cerino ,
M. Di Muzio ,
Y. Deremaux ,
M. Galerneau ,
P. de Saint Martin ,
T. Chaika ,
A. Hasselrot  and
U. Tengzelius
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V. Grewe
Affiliation:
[email protected], Deutsches Zentrum für Luft-und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen Wessling, Germany
M. Plohr
Affiliation:
Deutsches Zentrum für Luft-und Raumfahrt, Institut für Antriebstechnik, Köln, Germany
G. Cerino
Affiliation:
AleniaAeronautica, Naples, Italy
M. Di Muzio
Affiliation:
AleniaAeronautica, Naples, Italy
Y. Deremaux
Affiliation:
Dassault Aviation, Paris, France
M. Galerneau
Affiliation:
Dassault Aviation, Paris, France
P. de Saint Martin
Affiliation:
Dassault Aviation, Paris, France
T. Chaika
Affiliation:
Sukhoi Civil Aviation, Moscow, Russia
A. Hasselrot
Affiliation:
FOI, Swedish Defence Research Agency, Stockholm, Sweden
U. Tengzelius
Affiliation:
FOI, Swedish Defence Research Agency, Stockholm, Sweden
V. D. Korovkin
Affiliation:
Central Institute of Aviation Motors, Moscow, Russia
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Abstract

The climate impacts of three fleets of supersonic small-scale transport aircraft (S4TA) are simulated. Based on characteristic aircraft parameters, which were developed within the EU-project HISAC, emissions along geographically representative trajectories are calculated and in addition the resulting changes in the atmospheric composition (carbon dioxide, ozone layer, water vapour) and climate (near surface global mean temperature) are deduced. We assume a fleet development with an entry in service in 2015, a full fleet in 2050. The results show a temperature increase of 0·08mK (0·07-0·10mK) with only small but statistically significant variations between the configurations, leading to a minimum climate impact for a weight optimised and hence lower flying aircraft. A climate impact ratio of 3·0 ± 0·4 between a S4TA and its subsonic counterpart is calculated, which is considerable less than for previous supersonic fleets because of a lower flight altitude, leading to smaller water vapour impacts.

Type
Research Article
Information
The Aeronautical Journal , Volume 114 , Issue 1153 , March 2010 , pp. 199 - 206
Copyright
Copyright © Royal Aeronautical Society 2010 

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