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Series:   Elements in Criminology

Crime Dynamics

Why Crime Rates Change Over Time

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  21 May 2024

Richard Rosenfeld
Richard Rosenfeld
Affiliation:
University of Missouri, St Louis

Summary

This Element reviews and augments research on changes over time in U.S. crime rates during the past several decades. Major topics include the data sources for studying crime trends; the relationship between homicide rates and rates of property crime, imprisonment, and firearm availability; trends in crime by sex, race, and age; the relationship between crime trends and economic conditions; crime trends and social institutions; abrupt changes in crime rates and exogenous shocks; forecasting crime rates; and the future of crime trends theory and research. The study of crime trends is as intellectually rewarding and practically important as any topic in criminology. But attracting scholars to this field of study of crime trends will require significant advancements in theory, methods, and policy application.
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Keywords

crime trendshomicide trendscrime and social institutionsforecasting crime ratescrime trends and exogenous shocks
Type
Element
Information
Series: Elements in Criminology
Online ISBN: 9781009420365
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication: 20 June 2024

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