Book contents
- Public Spending and the Role of the State
- Public Spending and the Role of the State
- Copyright page
- Dedication
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- Acronyms and Abbreviations
- Introduction
- Part I The Growth of Government
- Part II Value for Money
- Part III Fiscal Risks
- 7 Social Expenditure and the Risk of ‘Social Dominance’
- 8 Fiscal–Financial Risks 1
- 9 Fiscal–Financial Risks 2
- Part IV Remedies
- Table of Data Sources
- Bibliography
- Index
7 - Social Expenditure and the Risk of ‘Social Dominance’
from Part III - Fiscal Risks
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 30 October 2020
- Public Spending and the Role of the State
- Public Spending and the Role of the State
- Copyright page
- Dedication
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- Acronyms and Abbreviations
- Introduction
- Part I The Growth of Government
- Part II Value for Money
- Part III Fiscal Risks
- 7 Social Expenditure and the Risk of ‘Social Dominance’
- 8 Fiscal–Financial Risks 1
- 9 Fiscal–Financial Risks 2
- Part IV Remedies
- Table of Data Sources
- Bibliography
- Index
Summary
In the past decades, governments significantly expanded their ‘insurance’ role in the economy. The ‘all-insurance’ state today is expected to cover almost all risks and contingencies from social security, via protecting certain industries or the financial sector to supporting demand and mitigating international crises.Social expenditure reflects the most important ‘insurance role’ of government. Social expenditure has been on a continuous upward trend for decades and absorbed 24% of GDP on average in 2016. Projections for the coming decades point to further moderate increases in an optimistic scenario and very adverse dynamics with spending growing to well above 30% of GDP in pessimistic ones.Large additional social expenditure increases would be hard to finance and would crowd out other, productive spending. Such a world of ‘social dominance’ would not be stable and sustainable. Fortunately, we have all the policy levers to prevent it.
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- Public Spending and the Role of the StateHistory, Performance, Risk and Remedies, pp. 155 - 178Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2020