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1 - Deterrence models

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 October 2009

Frank C. Zagare
Affiliation:
State University of New York, Buffalo
D. Marc Kilgour
Affiliation:
Wilfrid Laurier University, Ontario
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Summary

Four deterrence models are developed in the text and analyzed in appendices 3–8. The purpose of this appendix is to collect information about these models for easy reference and comparison. Appendix 2 collects the definitions and basic properties of quantities used in the analyses. The four deterrence models are listed in table A1.1.

As suggested in table A1.1, several versions of the Asymmetric Escalation Game are considered. The complete-information version of this game is discussed in chapter 6. Before the general incomplete-information model is analyzed in appendix 8 and discussed in chapter 9, two special cases are addressed: the “Massive Retaliation” version, introduced in chapter 7 and analyzed in appendix 6, and the “Flexible Response” version, introduced in chapter 8 and analyzed in appendix 7.

The four deterrence models of table A1.1 have many common features. All are discrete game models with two players, who are called A and B, or Challenger (abbreviated Ch) and Defender (abbreviated Def). Each model has only a few outcomes, including one called Status Quo (SQ). In the first three models, there is one outcome, DD, representing Conflict. In these models, strategies are denoted C and D; generally, C strategies represent acceptance of the Status Quo (or willingness to accept it), and D strategies represent willingness (or threats) to fight to overturn the Status Quo.

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Perfect Deterrence , pp. 311 - 322
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2000

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  • Deterrence models
  • Frank C. Zagare, State University of New York, Buffalo, D. Marc Kilgour, Wilfrid Laurier University, Ontario
  • Book: Perfect Deterrence
  • Online publication: 01 October 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511491788.012
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  • Deterrence models
  • Frank C. Zagare, State University of New York, Buffalo, D. Marc Kilgour, Wilfrid Laurier University, Ontario
  • Book: Perfect Deterrence
  • Online publication: 01 October 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511491788.012
Available formats
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To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Deterrence models
  • Frank C. Zagare, State University of New York, Buffalo, D. Marc Kilgour, Wilfrid Laurier University, Ontario
  • Book: Perfect Deterrence
  • Online publication: 01 October 2009
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511491788.012
Available formats
×