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8 - The macroeconomic impact of different speeds of debt stabilisation in EMU

from Part II - Fiscal policies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 September 2009

R. Beetsma
Affiliation:
Universiteit van Amsterdam
C. Favero
Affiliation:
Università Commerciale Luigi Bocconi, Milan
A. Missale
Affiliation:
Università degli Studi di Milano
V. A. Muscatelli
Affiliation:
University of Glasgow
P. Natale
Affiliation:
Università degli Studi di Milano
P. Tirelli
Affiliation:
Università degli Studi di Milano
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Summary

The potential importance of fiscal policy in influencing inflation has recently been highlighted, following Woodford (1998); under the heading of the ‘Fiscal Theory of the Price Level’ (FTPL). The Fiscal Theory has also been extended to consider the case of independent fiscal authorities operating under a common monetary authority (see Woodford 1998; Dupor 2000; Bergin 2000; Sims 1997).

The fiscal theory essentially characterises two regimes – one where the fiscal authorities act prudently, government debt does not constitute an element of net wealth and monetary policy is free to target inflation, and another, where fiscal insolvency requires surprise inflation to deflate the nominal value of government debt. In Leith and Wren-Lewis (2001) we relax a number of assumptions underlying the Fiscal Theory of the price level by considering a two-country model in continuous time with overlapping generations of consumers supplying labour to imperfectly competitive firms which can only adjust their prices infrequently. Policy is described by simple linear feedback rules. We find that there are two stable policy regimes similar to those in the Fiscal Theory: one where the government follows a rule which stabilises its debt and monetary policy is ‘active’ in the sense of Leeper (1991) and another where an imprudent government requires monetary policy to be ‘passive’. However, unlike the Fiscal Theory, both monetary and fiscal policy affect inflation in both regimes.

Type
Chapter
Information
Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policies and Labour Markets
Macroeconomic Policymaking in the EMU
, pp. 191 - 223
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2004

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