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2 - Moments and Tails

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 December 2023

Sébastien Roch
Affiliation:
University of Wisconsin, Madison
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Summary

In this chapter, we look at the moments of a random variable. Specifically we demonstrate that moments capture useful information about the tail of a random variable while often being simpler to compute or at least bound. Several well-known inequalities quantify this intuition. Although they are straightforward to derive, such inequalities are surprisingly powerful. Through a range of applications, we illustrate the utility of controlling the tail of a random variable, typically by allowing one to dismiss certain “bad events” as rare. We begin by recalling the classical Markov and Chebyshev’s inequalities. Then we discuss three of the most fundamental tools in discrete probability and probabilistic combinatorics. First, we derive the complementary first and second moment methods, and give several standard applications, especially to threshold phenomena in random graphs and percolation. Then we develop the Chernoff–Cramer method, which relies on the “exponential moment” and is the building block for large deviations bounds. Two key applications in data science are briefly introduced: sparse recovery and empirical risk minimization.

Type
Chapter
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Modern Discrete Probability
An Essential Toolkit
, pp. 21 - 94
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2024

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  • Moments and Tails
  • Sébastien Roch, University of Wisconsin, Madison
  • Book: Modern Discrete Probability
  • Online publication: 14 December 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009305129.003
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  • Moments and Tails
  • Sébastien Roch, University of Wisconsin, Madison
  • Book: Modern Discrete Probability
  • Online publication: 14 December 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009305129.003
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • Moments and Tails
  • Sébastien Roch, University of Wisconsin, Madison
  • Book: Modern Discrete Probability
  • Online publication: 14 December 2023
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009305129.003
Available formats
×