Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Introduction
- Participants
- Non-Participant Contributors
- Part 1 Transmissible diseases with long development times and vaccination strategies
- Part 2 Dynamics of immunity (development of disease within individuals)
- Part 3 Population heterogeneity (mixing)
- Modeling heterogeneous mixing in infectious disease dynamics
- Behavior change and non-homogeneous mixing
- Sources and use of empirical observations to characterise networks of sexual behaviour
- Invited Discussion
- Invited Discussion
- Per-contact probabilities of heterosexual transmission of HIV, estimated from partner study data
- Heterosexual spread of HIV with biased sexual partner selection
- Dynamic simulation of sexual partner networks: which network properties are important in sexually transmitted disease (STD) epidemiology?
- The spread of an STD on a dynamic network of sexual contacts
- Network measures for epidemiology
- Spatial heterogeneity and the spread of infectious diseases
- Data analysis for estimating risk factor effects using transmission models
- Homosexual role behaviour and the spread of HIV
- Homogeneity tests for groupings of AIDS patient classifications
- Risk factors for heterosexual transmission of HIV
- The effect of behavioural change on the prediction of R0 in the transmission of AIDS
- The saturating contact rate in epidemic models
- A Liapunov function approach to computing R0
- Stochastic models for the eradication of poliomyelitis: minimum population size for polio virus persistence
- Part 4 Consequences of treatment interventions
- Part 5 Prediction
Network measures for epidemiology
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 04 August 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Introduction
- Participants
- Non-Participant Contributors
- Part 1 Transmissible diseases with long development times and vaccination strategies
- Part 2 Dynamics of immunity (development of disease within individuals)
- Part 3 Population heterogeneity (mixing)
- Modeling heterogeneous mixing in infectious disease dynamics
- Behavior change and non-homogeneous mixing
- Sources and use of empirical observations to characterise networks of sexual behaviour
- Invited Discussion
- Invited Discussion
- Per-contact probabilities of heterosexual transmission of HIV, estimated from partner study data
- Heterosexual spread of HIV with biased sexual partner selection
- Dynamic simulation of sexual partner networks: which network properties are important in sexually transmitted disease (STD) epidemiology?
- The spread of an STD on a dynamic network of sexual contacts
- Network measures for epidemiology
- Spatial heterogeneity and the spread of infectious diseases
- Data analysis for estimating risk factor effects using transmission models
- Homosexual role behaviour and the spread of HIV
- Homogeneity tests for groupings of AIDS patient classifications
- Risk factors for heterosexual transmission of HIV
- The effect of behavioural change on the prediction of R0 in the transmission of AIDS
- The saturating contact rate in epidemic models
- A Liapunov function approach to computing R0
- Stochastic models for the eradication of poliomyelitis: minimum population size for polio virus persistence
- Part 4 Consequences of treatment interventions
- Part 5 Prediction
Summary
There has been considerable recent interest in expanding traditional mass action models for disease transmission to include selectivity and clustering in the contact process. One approach has been to stratify the population according to one or more population characteristics and then to model the effect of these characteristics on contact patterns. The contact rate between two members with known attributes is described by a mixing matrix or kernel function. The usual approach is to consider a parameterized family of mixing matrices and ask how important epidemiological outcomes are affected by these parameters.
In contrast, we have taken the contact network as the primary unit of observation. Networks are modeled as weighted graphs (static and undirected in the studies reported here). Because a complete description of a network entails a very large amount of information, our goal was find summary statistics that were effective predictors of the speed at which a disease would propagate through the network. The approach was to generate random networks, compute summary statistics, simulate a disease spreading through the network, and then examine the relationship between the statistics and epidemiologically significant outcomes. These simulation studies are preliminary, indicating the direction of ongoing research, and ask more questions than they answer.
Networks were generated using two different probability models, producing clustering by different mechanisms. The first model assumes that spatial proximity is a major consideration in network formation. Each individual in the population is assigned a random location in a square region and is assigned a circular territory of radius r in which it seeks contacts.
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- Models for Infectious Human DiseasesTheir Structure and Relation to Data, pp. 283 - 285Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1996