Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-jn8rn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-27T16:10:45.540Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

4 - A multidimensional impact model for the discovery of extraterrestrial life

from Part I - Motivations and approaches: How do we frame the problems of discovery and impact?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 November 2015

Clément Vidal
Affiliation:
Free University of Brussels (VUB)
Steven J. Dick
Affiliation:
Library of Congress, Washington DC
Get access

Summary

Most science fiction books and movies depict extraterrestrials (ETs) that are similar to us in many ways. They are at our scale, have eyes, limbs, and body symmetries. But what if they don't look like us? What if they are so different that no communication is possible? How would it impact our worldviews to find non-communicative ETs? I first argue that we will most likely find microbial life or what are known as Kardashev Type II stellar civilizations, but nothing in-between, and that any extraterrestrials we find will not communicate, for the simple reason that they would likely be either immensely inferior or immensely superior to us. Then, I show that the discovery of ET life will most likely be very slow, taking years or decades. Finally, to prepare for discovery, I propose a multidimensional impact model. Twenty-six dimensions are introduced, illustrated with spider diagrams, which cover both what extraterrestrials might look like, and how humans may react.

Why extraterrestrials will not communicate

The principle of mediocrity is fundamental in astrobiology. It says that, “we should assume ourselves to be typical in any class that we belong to, unless there is some evidence to the contrary” (Vilenkin 2011). Applied to our position in space in the universe, it means that our Solar System, our galaxy, and possibly our universe – if there is a multiverse – are typical. They are not central or special in any way. This insight is well known and well assimilated, and is also known as the Copernican principle. However, what if we apply it to our position in time?

If we map our position in time according to the Kardashev (1964) scale (Figure 4.1), we can see that we are in an extremely short transition phase from technical impotence to technical omnipotence. Indeed, the exponential growth of our energy consumption is very recent on evolutionary time scales, but will still be limited by the total energetic output of the Sun.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2015

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Aerts, D., Apostel, L., Moor, B. De, Hellemans, S., et al. 1994. World Views. From Fragmentation to Integration. Brussels: VUB Press. http://www.vub.ac.be/CLEA/pub/books/worldviews.pdf.Google Scholar
Almár, I. 2001. “How the Rio Scale Should Be Improved.” IAA-01-IAA.9.2.03. International Academy of Astronautics. http://avsport.org/IAA/abst2001/rio2001.pdf.Google Scholar
Almár, I. 2011. “SETI and Astrobiology: The Rio Scale and the London Scale.” Acta Astronautica 69 (9–10): 899–904. doi:10.1016/j.actaastro.2011.05.036.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Almár, I. and Race, M. S.. 2011. “Discovery of Extra-Terrestrial Life: Assessment by Scales of Its Importance and Associated Risks.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 369 (1936): 679–92. doi:10.1098/rsta.2010.0227.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Bahm, A. J. 1995. Comparative Philosophy: Western, Indian, & Chinese Philosophies Compared. edition. Albuquerque, NM: World Books.Google Scholar
Barrow, J. D. 1998. Impossibility: The Limits of Science and the Science of Limits. New York, NY: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Beech, M. 2008. Rejuvenating the Sun and Avoiding Other Global Catastrophes. Dordrecht: Springer.Google Scholar
Billingham, J. 2002. “Pešek Lecture: SETI and Society – Decision Trees.” Acta Astronautica 51 (10): 667–72. doi:10.1016/S0094-5765(02)00023-1.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bradbury, R. J., Ćirković, M. M, and Dvorsky, G.. 2011. “Dysonian Approach to SETI: A Fruitful Middle Ground?Journal of the British Interplanetary Society 64: 156–65.Google Scholar
Connors, M. M. 1976. The Role of the Social Scientist in the Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence. Moffett Field, CA: NASA Ames Research Center.Google Scholar
Corning, P. A. 2005. Holistic Darwinism: Synergy, Cybernetics, and the Bioeconomics of Evolution. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davies, P. C. W. 2010. The Eerie Silence: Are We Alone in the Universe?London: Penguin Books.Google Scholar
Dick, S. J. 1996. The Biological Universe: The Twentieth Century Extraterrestrial Life Debate and the Limits of Science. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Dick, S. J. 2000. “Cosmotheology: Theological Implications of the New Universe.” In Many Worlds. The New Universe, Extraterrestrial Life and the Theological Implications, edited by Dick, S. J., Philadelphia and London: Templeton Foundation Press, pp. 191–210.Google Scholar
Dick, S. J. 2008. “Cosmology and Biology.” In Proceedings of the 2008 Conference on the Society of Amateur Radio Astronomers. June 29 – July 2. National Radio Astronomy Observatory, Green Bank, West Virginia: Amateur Radio Relay League, pp. 1–16. http://evodevouniverse.com/uploads/f/f3/Dick_2008_-_Cosmology_and_Biology.pdf.Google Scholar
Dick, S. J. 2013. Discovery and Classification in Astronomy: Controversy and Consensus. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Dick, S. J., and Lupisella, M. L., eds. 2009. Cosmos and Culture: Cultural Evolution in a Cosmic Context. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, NASA SP-2009-4802. http://history.nasa.gov/SP-4802.pdf.Google Scholar
Dyson, F. J. 1960. “Search for Artificial Stellar Sources of Infrared Radiation.” Science 131 (3414): 1667–68. doi:10.1126/science.131.3414.1667.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Dyson, F. J. 1966. “The Search for Extraterrestrial Technology.” In Perspectives in Modern Physics, edited by Marshak, R. E., New York: John Wiley & Sons, pp. 641–55.Google Scholar
Freitas, R. A. Jr. 1979. Xenology: An Introduction to the Scientific Study of Extraterrestrial Life, Intelligence, and Civilization. Xenology Research Institute. http://www.xenology.info/Xeno.htm.Google Scholar
Freitas, R. Jr. 1981. “Xenobiology.” Analog Science Fiction/Science Fact 101: 30–41. http://www.xenology.info/Papers/Xenobiology.htm.Google Scholar
Freitas, R. A. Jr. and Valdes, F.. 1985. “The Search for Extraterrestrial Artifacts (SETA).” Acta Astronautica 12 (12): 1027–34. doi:10.1016/0094-5765(85)90031-1.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Freudenthal, H. 1960. Lincos: Design of a Language for Cosmic Intercourse. Amsterdam: North-Holland.Google Scholar
Gardner, J. N. 2004. “The Physical Constants as Biosignature: An Anthropic Retrodiction of the Selfish Biocosm Hypothesis.” International Journal of Astrobiology 3: 229–36. doi:10.1017/S1473550404002162.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Graves, C. W. 1974. “Human Nature Prepares for a Momentous Leap.” The Futurist 8 (2): 72–85.Google Scholar
Harrison, A. A. 1997. After Contact: The Human Response To Extraterrestrial Life. New York, NY: Plenum Trade.Google Scholar
Harrison, A. A. 2007. Starstruck: Cosmic Visions in Science, Religion and Folklore. New York, NY: Berghahn Books.Google Scholar
Heidmann, J. and Klein, M. J., eds. 1991. Bioastronomy The Search for Extraterrestial Life – The Exploration Broadens. Berlin: Springer, vol. 390.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoyle, F. and Wickramasinghe, N. C.. 1990. Cosmic Life-Force. New York, NY: Paragon House.Google Scholar
Kardashev, N. S. 1964. “Transmission of Information by Extraterrestrial Civilizations.” Soviet Astronomy 8 (2): 217–20. http://tinyurl.com/Kardashev1964.Google Scholar
Kohlberg, L. 1984. The Psychology of Moral Development: The Nature and Validity of Moral Stages. edn. Harpercollins College Div.Google Scholar
Koltko-Rivera, M. E. 2004. “The Psychology of Worldviews.” Review of General Psychology 8 (1): 3–58. doi:10.1037/1089-2680.8.1.3.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kuhn, T. S. 1957. The Copernican Revolution; Planetary Astronomy in the Development of Western Thought. Cambridge: Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Kuhn, T. S. 1970. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Laske, Otto E. 2008. Measuring Hidden Dimensions of Human Systems: Foundations of Requisite Organization. edn. Medford, MA: IDM Press.Google Scholar
Maslow, Abraham H. 1954. Motivation and Personality. edn. Harper's Psychological Series. New York, NY: Harper.Google Scholar
McKay, D. S., Gibson, E. K., Thomas-Keprta, K. L., et al. 1996. “Search for Past Life on Mars: Possible Relic Biogenic Activity in Martian Meteorite ALH84001.” Science 273: 924–30. doi:10.1126/science.273.5277.924.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Miller, J. G. 1978. Living Systems. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill.Google Scholar
Neal, M. 2014. “Preparing for Extraterrestrial Contact.” Risk Management 16 (2): 63–87. doi:10.1057/rm.2014.4.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pagels, H. R. 1989. The Dreams of Reason. New York, NY: Bantam.Google Scholar
Peters, T. 2014. “Astrotheology: A Constructive Proposal.” Zygon® 49 (2): 443–57. doi:10.1111/zygo.12094.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Piaget, J. 1954. The Construction of Reality in the Child. New York, NY: Basic Books.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schulze-Makuch, D. and Irwin, L. N.. 2008. Life in the Universe: Expectations and Constraints. edn. Advances in Astrobiology and Biogeophysics. Berlin: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
shCherbak, V. I. and Makukov, M. A.. 2013. “The ‘Wow! Signal’ of the Terrestrial Genetic Code.” Icarus 224 (1): 228–42. doi:10.1016/j.icarus.2013.02.017.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smith, H. 1957. “Accents of the World's Philosophies.” Philosophy East and West 7 (1/2): 7–19.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sterman, J. D. 2000. Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Boston, MA: Irwin McGraw-Hill.Google Scholar
Tarter, D. E. 1992. “Interpreting and Reporting on a SETI Discovery: We Should Be Prepared.” Space Policy 8 (2): 137–48. doi:10.1016/0265-9646(92)90037-V.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vakoch, D. A. and Lee, Y.–S.. 2000. “Reactions to Receipt of a Message from Extraterrestrial Intelligence: A Cross-Cultural Empirical Study.” Acta Astronautica 46 (10–12): 737–44. doi:10.1016/S0094-5765(00)00041-2.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vakoch, D. A., ed. 2014. Extraterrestrial Altruism: Evolution and Ethics in the Cosmos. Berlin: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vidal, C. 2008. “What Is a Worldview? Published in Dutch as: ‘Wat Is Een Wereldbeeld?’” In Nieuwheid Denken. De Wetenschappen En Het Creatieve Aspect Van De Werkelijkheid, edited by Belle, Hubert Van and Veken, Jan Van der, Leuven: Acco, pp. 71–85. http://cogprints.org/6094/.Google Scholar
Vidal, C. 2012. “Metaphilosophical Criteria for Worldview Comparison.” Metaphilosophy 43 (3):306–47. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9973.2012.01749.x. http://homepages.vub.ac.be/~clvidal/writings/Vidal-Metaphilosophical-Criteria.pdf.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Vidal, C. 2014a. The Beginning and the End – The Meaning of Life in a Cosmological Perspective. Berlin: Springer.Google Scholar
Vidal, C. 2014b. “Cosmological Immortality: How to Eliminate Aging on a Universal Scale.” Current Aging Science. doi:10.2174/1874609807666140521111107. http://student.vub.ac.be/~clvidal/writings/Vidal-Cosmological-Immortality.pdf
Vilenkin, A. 2011. “The Principle of Mediocrity.” Astronomy & Geophysics 52 (5): 5.33–35.36. doi:10.1111/j.1468-4004.2011.52533.x.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wainwright, M. 2014. “A Presumptive Fossilized Bacterial Biofilm Occurring in a Commercially Sourced Mars Meteorite.” Journal of Astrobiology & Outreach 02 (02). doi:10.4172/2332-2519.1000114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wright, J. T., Griffith, R. L., Sigurdsson, S., Povich, M. S., and Mullan, B.. 2014. “The Ĝ Infrared Search for Extraterrestrial Civilizations with Large Energy Supplies. II. Framework, Strategy, and First Result.” The Astrophysical Journal 792 (1): 27. doi:10.1088/0004-637X/792/1/27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×