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23 - How (and why) do climate policy costs differ among countries?

from Part III - Mitigation of greenhouse gases

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 December 2010

Sergey Paltsev
Affiliation:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA, USA
John M. Reilly
Affiliation:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA, USA
Henry D. Jacoby
Affiliation:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology CT, USA
Kok Hou Tay
Affiliation:
Yale FES Cambridge, MA, USA
Michael E. Schlesinger
Affiliation:
University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign
Haroon S. Kheshgi
Affiliation:
ExxonMobil Research and Engineering
Joel Smith
Affiliation:
Stratus Consulting Ltd, Boulder
Francisco C. de la Chesnaye
Affiliation:
US Environmental Protection Agency
John M. Reilly
Affiliation:
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Tom Wilson
Affiliation:
Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto
Charles Kolstad
Affiliation:
University of California, Santa Barbara
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Summary

Introduction

There have been many studies of the cost to Annex B countries of meeting Kyoto Protocol commitments. Unfortunately for these analyses, the Protocol has proved to be a moving target in terms of its interpretation and likely implementation. In addition, the economic performance and future expectations for some parties also are changing, and with these changes come revisions in reference emissions, which have a strong influence on the projected cost of meeting Protocol requirements. Looking back across these studies, the progression of work can be divided into three broad phases. The first studies were conducted soon after the Protocol was signed in 1997, and they focused on carbon emissions from fossil fuels. Often they assumed an idealized system of harmonized carbon taxes, or cap-and-trade among all the Annex B parties, contrasting such systems with implementation without international permit trade but with an idealized trading system operating within each country (see, for example, Weyant and Hill [1999]). These studies showed a high cost of the Protocol with autarkic compliance, but huge benefits of international trading because it made Russian “hot air” (potentially tradable emission quotas in excess of their anticipated emissions) accessible to other Annex B parties.

A second phase of studies followed the final negotiations in Marrakech in 2001 (Manne and Richels, 2001; Babiker et al., 2002; Bohringer, 2002). By that time, the United States had withdrawn from the Protocol, and the potential contribution of Article 3.4 carbon sinks had been defined for each party.

Type
Chapter
Information
Human-Induced Climate Change
An Interdisciplinary Assessment
, pp. 282 - 293
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2007

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