In the previous chapter it was argued that a theory arrived at by the straight rule from some body of data is more likely to lead to true predictions than other theories also compatible with the same data. This gives us a reason to prefer theories arrived at by the straight rule. But if we are confronted with any finite body of data, there will generally be a number of theories capable of being derived from those data by the straight rule.
Perhaps the most obvious way (to philosophers, at least) of generating indefinitely many generalizations from the same body of data using the straight rule is by using “grue/bleen” type predicates. The grue/bleen problem is discussed later in this chapter. But even without grue/bleen type predicates, it is still possible to use the straight rule to generate a number of different hypotheses from the same body of data. The history of science contains many such cases. For example, it may well have been the case that in the fifteenth century both the theory of Copernicus and a version of the Ptolemaic theory could both account for all the data that had been obtained up until that time. It would therefore have been possible to use the straight rule to make both of the following two inferences:
• Inference A: All available data conform to (a particular version of) the Ptolemaic theory; therefore all data (including data that will obtained in the future) conform to that theory.
• all data (including data that will be obtained in the future) conform to that theory.
To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.