Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-t5tsf Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-17T19:09:32.752Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Preface to First Edition

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 July 2014

Ralph L. Keeney
Affiliation:
University of Southern California
Howard Raiffa
Affiliation:
Harvard University, Massachusetts
Get access

Summary

If we wanted the title of this book merely to convey the subject matter, it would be some horrendously complicated concoction such as: “On Cardinal Utility Analysis with Multiple Conflicting Objectives: The Case of Individual Decision making Under Uncertainty from the Prescriptive Point of View—with Special Emphasis on Applications but with a Little Theory Thrown In for Spice.”

Our actual title, Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs is longer than we think a title should ideally be, but, unfortunately, it is too short to prevent unjustified sales. Even in such a simple case, it is not so easy to balance among the conflicting objectives: convey the subject matter, minimize the length, and promote justified sales but prevent unjustified ones.

To an ever growing circle of people, “Decision Analysis” has carved out for itself a niche in the literature of operations research, Systems analysis, management sciences, decision and control, and cybernetics. Decision analysis looks at the paradigm in which an individual decision maker (or decision unit) contemplates a choice of action in an uncertain environment. The approach employs systematic analysis, with some number pushing, which helps the decision maker clarify in his own mind which course of action he should choose. In this sense, the approach is not descriptive, because most people do not attempt to think systematically about hard choices under uncertainty. It is also not normative since it is not an idealized theory designed for the superrational being with an all-powering intellect. It is, instead, a prescriptive approach designed for normally intelligent people who want to think hard and systematically about some important real problems.

Type
Chapter
Information
Decisions with Multiple Objectives
Preferences and Value Trade-Offs
, pp. xv - xx
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1993

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×