Start with a necklace consisting of one white bead and one black bead, and add new beads one at a time by inserting each new bead between a randomly chosen adjacent pair of old beads, with the proviso that the new bead will be white if and only if both beads of the adjacent pair are black. Let Wn denote the number of white beads when the total number of beads is n. We show that EWn = n/3 and, with c2 = 2/45, that (Wn − n/3) / c√n is asymptotically standard normal. We find that, for all r ≥ 1 and n > 2r, the rth cumulant of the distribution of Wn is of the form nhr. We find the expected numbers of gaps of given length between white beads, and examine the asymptotics of the longest gaps.

In this paper we investigate the ‘local’ properties of a random mapping model, TnD̂, which maps the set {1, 2, …, n} into itself. The random mapping TnD̂, which was introduced in a companion paper (Hansen and Jaworski (2008)), is constructed using a collection of exchangeable random variables D̂1, …, D̂n which satisfy In the random digraph, GnD̂, which represents the mapping TnD̂, the in-degree sequence for the vertices is given by the variables D̂1, D̂2, …, D̂n, and, in some sense, GnD̂ can be viewed as an analogue of the general independent degree models from random graph theory. By local properties we mean the distributions of random mapping characteristics related to a given vertex v of GnD̂ - for example, the numbers of predecessors and successors of v in GnD̂. We show that the distribution of several variables associated with the local structure of GnD̂ can be expressed in terms of expectations of simple functions of D̂1, D̂2, …, D̂n. We also consider two special examples of TnD̂ which correspond to random mappings with preferential and anti-preferential attachment, and determine, for these examples, exact and asymptotic distributions for the local structure variables considered in this paper. These distributions are also of independent interest.

Expressions for the joint distribution of the longest and second longest excursions as well as the marginal distributions of the three longest excursions in the Brownian bridge are obtained. The method, which primarily makes use of the weak convergence of the random walk to the Brownian motion, principally gives the possibility to obtain any desired joint or marginal distribution. Numerical illustrations of the results are also given.

Statistics denoting the numbers of success runs of length exactly equal and at least equal to a fixed length, as well as the sum of the lengths of success runs of length greater than or equal to a specific length, are considered. They are defined on both linearly and circularly ordered binary sequences, derived according to the Pólya-Eggenberger urn model. A waiting time associated with the sum of lengths statistic in linear sequences is also examined. Exact marginal and joint probability distribution functions are obtained in terms of binomial coefficients by a simple unified combinatorial approach. Mean values are also derived in closed form. Computationally tractable formulae for conditional distributions, given the number of successes in the sequence, useful in nonparametric tests of randomness, are provided. The distribution of the length of the longest success run and the reliability of certain consecutive systems are deduced using specific probabilities of the studied statistics. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the theoretical results.

Consider a random graph, having a prespecified degree distribution F, but other than that being uniformly distributed, describing the social structure (friendship) in a large community. Suppose that one individual in the community is externally infected by an infectious disease and that the disease has its course by assuming that infected individuals infect their not yet infected friends independently with probability p. For this situation, we determine the values of R0, the basic reproduction number, and τ0, the asymptotic final size in the case of a major outbreak. Furthermore, we examine some different local vaccination strategies, where individuals are chosen randomly and vaccinated, or friends of the selected individuals are vaccinated, prior to the introduction of the disease. For the studied vaccination strategies, we determine Rv, the reproduction number, and τv, the asymptotic final proportion infected in the case of a major outbreak, after vaccinating a fraction v.

In a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials the probability for success in the kth trial is pk, k = 1, 2, …. The number of strings with a given number of failures between two subsequent successes is studied. Explicit expressions for distributions and moments are obtained for the case in which pk = a/(a + b + k − 1), a > 0, b ≥ 0. Also, the limit behaviour of the longest failure string in the first n trials is considered. For b = 0, the strings correspond to cycles in random permutations.

Let n points be randomly and independently placed in Rd according to a common probability law. It is known that the expected volume for the convex hull of these points, in the cases where n - d ≥ 2 and even, is related linearly to expected volumes of the convex hulls for j points, j < n. We show that similar identities for these volumes hold almost surely - and in contexts where independence and communality of law do not apply. New geometric and topological identities developed here provide a foundation for this result.

We derive a new compound Poisson distribution with explicit parameters to approximate the number of overlapping occurrences of any set of words in a Markovian sequence. Using the Chen-Stein method, we provide a bound for the approximation error. This error converges to 0 under the rare event condition, even for overlapping families, which improves previous results. As a consequence, we also propose Poisson approximations for the declumped count and the number of competing renewals.

We propose a simple and efficient scheme for ranking all teams in a tournament where matches can be played simultaneously. We show that the distribution of the number of rounds of the proposed scheme can be derived using lattice path counting techniques used in ballot problems. We also discuss our method from the viewpoint of parallel sorting algorithms.

The trie is a sort of digital tree. Ideally, to achieve balance, the trie should grow from an unbiased source generating keys of bits with equal likelihoods. In practice, the lack of bias is not always guaranteed. We investigate the distance between randomly selected pairs of nodes among the keys in a biased trie. This research complements that of Christophi and Mahmoud (2005); however, the results and some of the methodology are strikingly different. Analytical techniques are still useful for moments calculation. Both mean and variance are of polynomial order. It is demonstrated that the standardized distance approaches a normal limiting random variable. This is proved by the contraction method, whereby the limit distribution is shown to approach the fixed-point solution of a distributional equation in the Wasserstein metric space.

In DNA sequences, specific words may take on biological functions as marker or signalling sequences. These may often be identified by frequent-word analyses as being particularly abundant. Accurate statistics is needed to assess the statistical significance of these word frequencies. The set of shuffled sequences - letter sequences having the same k-word composition, for some choice of k, as the sequence being analysed - is considered the most appropriate sample space for analysing word counts. However, little is known about these word counts. Here we present exact formulae for word counts in shuffled sequences.

Consider n cells, of which some are target cells, and suppose that each cell has a weight. The cells are killed in a sequential manner, with each currently live cell being the next one killed with a probability proportional to its weight. We study the distribution of the number of cells that are alive at the moment when all the target cells have been killed.

Consider the single-server queue with an infinite buffer and a first-in–first-out discipline, either of type M/M/1 or Geom/Geom/1. Denote by 𝒜 the arrival process and by s the services. Assume the stability condition to be satisfied. Denote by 𝒟 the departure process in equilibrium and by r the time spent by the customers at the very back of the queue. We prove that (𝒟, r) has the same law as (𝒜, s), which is an extension of the classical Burke theorem. In fact, r can be viewed as the sequence of departures from a dual storage model. This duality between the two models also appears when studying the transient behaviour of a tandem by means of the Robinson–Schensted–Knuth algorithm: the first and last rows of the resulting semistandard Young tableau are respectively the last instant of departure from the queue and the total number of departures from the store.

Consider the random graph model of Barabási and Albert, where we add a new vertex in every step and connect it to some old vertices with probabilities proportional to their degrees. If we connect it to only one of the old vertices then this will be a tree. These graphs have been shown to have a power-law degree distribution, the same as that observed in some large real-world networks. We are interested in the width of the tree and we show that it is at the nth step; this also holds for a slight generalization of the model with another constant. We then see how this theoretical result can be applied to directory trees.

Berry-Esseen-type bounds to the normal, based on zero- and size-bias couplings, are derived using Stein's method. The zero biasing bounds are illustrated in an application to combinatorial central limit theorems in which the random permutation has either the uniform distribution or one that is constant over permutations with the same cycle type, with no fixed points. The size biasing bounds are applied to the occurrences of fixed, relatively ordered subsequences (such as rising sequences) in a random permutation, and to the occurrences of patterns, extreme values, and subgraphs in finite graphs.

The convex hull of n independent random points in ℝd, chosen according to the normal distribution, is called a Gaussian polytope. Estimates for the variance of the number of i-faces and for the variance of the ith intrinsic volume of a Gaussian polytope in ℝd, d∈ℕ, are established by means of the Efron-Stein jackknife inequality and a new formula of Blaschke-Petkantschin type. These estimates imply laws of large numbers for the number of i-faces and for the ith intrinsic volume of a Gaussian polytope as n→∞.

In a tree, a level consists of all those nodes that are the same distance from the root. We derive asymptotic approximations to the correlation coefficients of two level sizes in random recursive trees and binary search trees. These coefficients undergo sharp sign-changes when one level is fixed and the other is varying. We also propose a new means of deriving an asymptotic estimate for the expected width, which is the number of nodes at the most abundant level. Crucial to our methods of proof is the uniformity achieved by singularity analysis.

Let Yk(ω) (k ≥ 0) be the number of vertices of a Galton-Watson tree ω that have k children, so that Z(ω) := ∑k≥0Yk(ω) is the total progeny of ω. In this paper, we will prove various statistical properties of Z and Yk. We first show, under a mild condition, an asymptotic expansion of P(Z = n) as n → ∞, improving the theorem of Otter (1949). Next, we show that Yk(ω) := ∑j=0kYj(ω) is the total progeny of a new Galton-Watson tree that is hidden in the original tree ω. We then proceed to study the joint probability distribution of Z and Ykk, and show that, as n → ∞, Yk/nk is asymptotically Gaussian under the conditional distribution P(· | Z = n).

A simplified proof of Thorp and Walden's fundamental theorem of card counting is presented, and a corresponding central limit theorem is established. Results are applied to the casino game of trente et quarante, which was studied by Poisson and De Morgan.

Throw n points sequentially and at random onto a unit circle and append a clockwise arc (or rod) of length s to each such point. The resulting random set (the free gas of rods) is a union of a random number of clusters with random sizes modelling a free deposition process on a one-dimensional substrate. A variant of this model is investigated in order to take into account the role of the disorder, θ > 0; this involves Dirichlet(θ) distributions. For such free deposition processes with disorder θ, we shall be interested in the occurrence times and probabilities, as n grows, of two specific types of configurations: those avoiding overlapping rods (the hard-rod gas) and those for which the largest gap is smaller than the rod length s (the packing gas). Special attention is paid to the thermodynamic limit when ns = ρ for some finite density ρ of points. The occurrence of parking configurations, those for which hard-rod and packing constraints are both fulfilled, is then studied. Finally, some aspects of these problems are investigated in the low-disorder limit θ ↓ 0 as n ↑ ∞ while nθ = γ > 0. Here, Poisson-Dirichlet(γ) partitions play some role.