Stewart’s and Fencl’s methods have recently been proposed to interpret acid–base disorders where traditional theory has proven inadequate. Our objectives were to evaluate: (1) the occurrence of acid–base disturbances in critically ill patients and their trend over the first 3 intensive care unit days, (2) whether Stewart’s theory offers advantages over the traditional theory in the diagnosis of acid–base metabolic disturbances and (3) whether variables derived from Stewart’s and Fencl’s methods offer advantages over the traditional method to predict patient mortality.

A prospective cohort study in a general intensive care unit. Blood samples were analysed for arterial blood gases, electrolytes and proteins. PaCO2, pH, bicarbonate, base excess, standard base-excess, sodium, potassium, chloride, phosphorous, calcium, magnesium and lactate were measured. Anion gap, Stewart’s and Fencl’s variables were calculated.

When using Stewart’s method, metabolic acidosis and metabolic alkalosis were found in 92.9% and 93.4% of samples, respectively. Corresponding figures obtained with the traditional method were 15% and 18.7%. In 245 (64.5%) samples, Stewart’s method revealed that metabolic acidosis and alkalosis were simultaneously present, whereas the traditional method revealed a normal acid–base status. Strong ion gap increased significantly over the first 3 intensive care unit days. Strong ion gap and lactate were independent predictors of 28-day mortality.

Metabolic acidosis by unmeasured anions is a clinically relevant phenomenon, which is correlated with mortality. Progressive metabolic acidosis may be ongoing in the early phase of critical illness despite the absence of acidaemia.