Techniques for studying the reliability of simple series or parallel systems are well known. This paper is concerned with more complicated systems in which the load on failed elements is transmitted to unfailed elements according to some load-sharing rule. The emphasis is on local load sharing, and in particular on a specific load-sharing rule introduced by Harlow and Phoenix for fibrous composites. Earlier results are reviewed and improved techniques for approximating the probability of failure and the size effect are derived.

The Weibull distribution for the strength of a long fiber is reviewed, with emphasis on its derivation via extreme-value theory. It is shown that a corresponding Weibull distribution, but with different scale and shape parameters, is appropriate for the lower tail distribution of a bundle of parallel fibers under general load-sharing assumptions. This result is applied to series-parallel systems. The paper contains discussion of the application of these results to the strength of fibrous materials. It is concluded that the Weibull approximation, developed for series-parallel systems, is appropriate for long thin materials consisting of a small number of parallel fibers.