Starting from a suitable sequence of auto-Poisson lattice schemes, it is shown that (almost) any purely inhibitory pairwise-interaction point process can be obtained in the limit. Further pairwise-interaction processes are obtained as limits of sequences of auto-logistic lattice schemes.

A manpower model is examined in which there are fixed promotion rates, no demotions and stochastic wastage. We discuss the probability of attainability of structures and structural paths using recruitment control.

Consider situations where the treatment may cause an initial effect and may also cause a long-range effect. We want to evaluate the treatment, or to compare two treatments, when the effect of treatment may result from the two distinct mechanisms, M1 and M2. We may wish to evaluate M1 and M2 separately, but we may also want to evaluate their combined effect M3. Examples are given and the general results are applied to the special case arising in weather modification studies and elsewhere: the possible effects are multiplicative and the distribution of non-zero variables is gamma with at most the scale parameter affected by treatment. An example demonstrates that the two components may be too weak to be judged significant while their sum is large and significant. The locally optimum C(α) test is used.

There is a brief discussion of the power function of the tests. The asymptotic power agrees well, in general, by the results of the Monte Carlo simulation for the test Z3 of the combined effect. If the zero values are discarded and then Z2 employed, there is large bias in the power. The bias is more pronounced if the Wilcoxon, Mann–Whitney test is employed. Notice that the two effects under study may be acting in the same direction or they may be in opposition.

We show for a certain class of Galton–Watson branching processes in varying environments (Zn)n that moments of the maximum random variable supnZn/Cn exist if and only if the same moments of limnZn/Cn exist, where Cn is a sequence of suitable constants.

The process {Xn }, defined by Xn + 1 = max{Yn + 1 + αßX n, ßX n}, with αand ß in [0, 1) and {Yn } stationary, arises in studies of solar thermal energy systems. Bounds for the stationary mean EX are given, which are more general and in some cases tighter, than those previously available.

Criteria are given to determine whether a given finite Markov chain can be lumped weakly with respect to a given partition of its state space. These conditions are given in terms of solution classes of systems of linear equations associated with the transition probability matrix of the Markov chain and the given partition.

We obtain an extension of a theorem of Bingham and Doney connecting the random variables Z1 and W in the supercritical Galton-Watson process. The regular variation of the distribution of Z1 is equivalent to the regular variation of the tail of the distribution of W for integer values of α > 1.

A survey is made of the mathematical properties of, and the arithmetic relationships between, various distributions on the circle and the sphere. The Brownian motion and angular Gaussian distributions are shown in computer-drawn graphs to bracket the von Mises–Fisher distributions.

For point processes, a pair of points is isolated if each is the nearest neighbor of the other, and its degree of isolation is the relative distance to the next-nearest point. The frequency with which such pairs occur and the distribution of their degree of isolation are obtained for Poisson processes in ℝv. Similar results are obtained for some related models, incidentally solving a problem proposed by D. P. Shine.

This paper derives upper and lower bounds to the distribution functions of nearest-neighbour and minimum nearest-neighbour distances between N points generated by a hard-core model on the surface of a sphere. The use of these bounds in statistical inference is discussed.

Characterizations of strong ergodicity for Markov chains using mean visit times have been found by several authors (Huang and Isaacson (1977), Isaacson and Arnold (1978)). In this paper a characterization of uniform strong ergodicity for a continuous-time non-homogeneous Markov chain is given. This extends the characterization, using mean visit times, that was given by Isaacson and Arnold.

If X = (X1, · ··, Xn) has uniform distribution on the sphere or ball in ℝ with radius a, then the joint distribution of , ···, k, converges in total variation to the standard normal distribution on ℝ. Similar results hold for the inner products of independent n-vectors. Applications to geometric probability are given.

Under simple limiting conditions a first-order autoregressive process is shown to converge weakly to an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The result is discussed in the context of modeling vital rates for biological populations in random environments.

Consider a unknown realizable time-invariant linear filter driven by a point process. We are interested in the identification of this system, observing only the output random process. If the process is almost periodically correlated but not periodically correlated, we can identify the filter, using the second-order non-stationary spectrum of the process. We do not require the assumption that the filter is minimum phase.

Data classified into several groups usually depend on structural and accessory parameters, the structural parameter θ being a constant for all the data, while the accessory parameters ϕ i vary between groups.

For the structural parameter, inferences that are free of the accessory parameters can be made when the ϕ i admit sufficient statistics or surrogates Si, by conditioning on the Si or by constructing statistics independent of the Si.

When the Si are functions of the structural parameter θ, θ is said to be endomorphic. Conditional likelihood methods are not unequivocal for endomorphic parameters; instead, inference is based on statistics independent of the Si, and so free of the ϕ i, derived from conditional distribution functions.

With endomorphic parameters, since the surrogates and the statistics independent of them are functions of θ, tests of independence of these sets of statistics provide a means of making inferences about θ.

The properties of a measure of randomness on the class of discrete probability distributions are discussed. A result concerning finiteness is obtained for a family of measures which includes the entropy function.

Karlin and Rinott (1980) introduced and investigated concepts of multivariate total positivity (TP2) and multivariate monotone likelihood ratio (MLR) for probability measures on Rn These TP and MLR concepts are intimately related to supermodularity as discussed in Topkis (1968), (1978) and the FKG inequality of Fortuin, Kasteleyn and Ginibre (1971). This note points out connections between these concepts and uniform conditional stochastic order (ucso) as defined in Whitt (1980). ucso holds for two probability distributions if there is ordinary stochastic order for the corresponding conditional probability distributions obtained by conditioning on subsets from a specified class. The appropriate subsets to condition on for ucso appear to be the sublattices of Rn. Then MLR implies ucso, with the two orderings being equivalent when at least one of the probability measures is TP2.