Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T20:55:14.154Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

11 - Measuring the future

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2014

J.-C. Spender
Affiliation:
Koźmiński University, Warsaw
Get access

Summary

I don’t care how big and fast computers are, they’re not as big and fast as the world.

Herbert Simon

Business model innovation isn’t chemistry. Add two parts management attention, five parts employee participation, and three parts customer involvement today, repeat the next day – and the results are likely to be different. One day you make millions from pet rocks. The next day you flop with New Coke. A few months later you reintroduce the old formula and make many more millions with Coke Classic. Who knew?

As maddening as it may be, entrepreneurs depend on this type of uncertainty. Economist Frank Knight famously stated that without uncertainty, there would be no opportunity to make a profit. No uncertainty, no entrepreneurs (or entrepreneurial workforce). Perfect markets (in which economists argue there could be no profits) rely upon perfect information. Not to worry, entrepreneurs, there is no such thing. Markets are not perfect, and uncertainty abounds. But uncertainty often makes measuring the inputs, outputs, and, most importantly, outcomes of strategic conversations more art than science. Given this fundamental difficulty, what managerial measures are appropriate? Is it enough to believe in the irrefutable benefits of strategic conversations – perhaps based on a book you’ve been reading – and throw up one’s hands and say it’s not worth the effort to measure what is most likely un-measurable?

Type
Chapter
Information
Strategic Conversations
Creating and Directing the Entrepreneurial Workforce
, pp. 196 - 208
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2014

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×