Book contents
- More People, Fewer States
- More People, Fewer States
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Preface
- 1 More People and Yet Fewer States
- Part I World Population Growth
- Part II Empire Growth
- Part III Trends and Interactions
- 14 How Top States Have Become Larger
- 15 How the Number of States Has Decreased, and What Is Ahead
- 16 Population Density, and Connecting World and Top State Populations
- 17 Growth–Decline Patterns and Durations of Empires
- 18 Empire Shapes, Languages, and Reigns
- 19 Cities and Empires
- 20 How History Fades – and Expands
- 21 The Future of the Super-Cancer of the Biosphere
- Book Appendix: Chronological Table of Major State Sizes, −3500 to +2025
- References
- Index
20 - How History Fades – and Expands
from Part III - Trends and Interactions
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 21 June 2024
- More People, Fewer States
- More People, Fewer States
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Preface
- 1 More People and Yet Fewer States
- Part I World Population Growth
- Part II Empire Growth
- Part III Trends and Interactions
- 14 How Top States Have Become Larger
- 15 How the Number of States Has Decreased, and What Is Ahead
- 16 Population Density, and Connecting World and Top State Populations
- 17 Growth–Decline Patterns and Durations of Empires
- 18 Empire Shapes, Languages, and Reigns
- 19 Cities and Empires
- 20 How History Fades – and Expands
- 21 The Future of the Super-Cancer of the Biosphere
- Book Appendix: Chronological Table of Major State Sizes, −3500 to +2025
- References
- Index
Summary
What is the midpoint date in a chronological list of major events in world history? At what rate does the coverage of more distant times diminish? Analysis of five lists published from 1876 to 2016 shows that the number of entries matters: Shorter lists have earlier midpoints. Normalized to 1000 entries, the midpoint of history is around 1500 CE. All lists show fewer events per century as we move to more distant past, in a coarsely exponential way. But some periods stand out. Frequency of events shows a peak from 400 to 200 BCE and a trough from 100 BCE to 1000 CE. Inclusion of less Eurocentric lists may alter this picture. But the pattern of more entries in more recent times also fits the world population explosion: More people create more memorable events. Combining this population-induced expansion of history with fading of history over time is complicated.
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- More People, Fewer StatesThe Past and Future of World Population and Empire Sizes, pp. 295 - 305Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2024