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5 - Interpreting the Goldwater Election and Pursuing the South

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Howard L. Reiter
Affiliation:
University of Connecticut
Jeffrey M. Stonecash
Affiliation:
Syracuse University
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Summary

The results of the 1964 election were clear, but their interpretation was not, and the differing views reflected the growing split within the Republican Party. Lyndon Johnson received 61.1 percent of the national popular vote and House Democratic candidates received 57.4 percent of the national vote. Democrats won 26 of 33 Senate contests. The loss was seen by many as a disaster for Republicans. Goldwater's position had apparently defined the party to many voters and they did not like what they heard. As James Reston of The New York Times put it, “He has wrecked his party for a long time to come.” Another columnist wrote, “The election has finished the Goldwater school of political reaction.” There were immediate efforts to replace the conservative party leadership that Goldwater had brought in.

The election had a devastating effect within the Northeast. In the elections from 1954 through 1962, Republicans had won an average of 54.7 percent of House seats within the region, ranging from 49.1 percent to 62.9 percent. Following the 1964 election, the party held 36.7 percent of House seats, lower than their prior low of 37.4 percent in 1936. Goldwater averaged 31.2 percent of the vote in northeastern House districts and lost all ten states by wide margins. There were nine Senate seats up for election in the region, and Republicans won only two of them, both by small margins. There was little positive news in the results for northeastern Republicans.

Type
Chapter
Information
Counter Realignment
Political Change in the Northeastern United States
, pp. 81 - 100
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2011

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References

Perlstein, Rick, Before the Storm (New York: Hill and Wang, 2001), ixGoogle Scholar
Cosman, Bernard, Five States for Goldwater: Continuity and Change in Southern Presidential Voting Patterns (University, AL: University of Alabama Press, 1966)Google Scholar
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Stonecash, Jeffrey M., Reassessing the Incumbency Effect (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2009)Google Scholar
Lassiter, Matthew D., The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 2007)Google Scholar
Phillips, Kevin, The Emerging Republican Majority (New York: Anchor Books, 1970), 21Google Scholar
Stonecash, Jeffrey M., Political Parties Matter: Realignment and the Return of Partisanship (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 2006), 109–128Google Scholar
Black, Earl and Black, Merle, The Rise of Southern Republicans (Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2002), 246Google Scholar
Brewer, Mark D. and Stonecash, Jeffrey M., “Class, Race Issues, and Declining White Support for the Democratic Party in the South,” Political Behavior, 23, no. 2 (June 2001), 131–156CrossRefGoogle Scholar

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