Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Figures
- List of Tables
- List of Contributors
- Introduction
- 1 Ambiguity aversion and the UK government’s response to swine flu
- 2 Models of governance of public services: empirical and behavioural analysis of ‘econs’ and ‘humans’
- 3 From irresponsible knaves to responsible knights for just 5p: behavioural public policy and the environment
- 4 The more who die, the less we care: psychic numbing and genocide
- 5 Healthy habits: some thoughts on the role of public policy in healthful eating and exercise under limited rationality
- 6 Confessing one’s sins but still committing them: transparency and the failure of disclosure
- 7 How should people be rewarded for their work?
- 8 Influencing the financial behaviour of individuals: the mindspace way
- 9 Decision analysis from a neo-Calvinist point of view
- Index
- References
4 - The more who die, the less we care: psychic numbing and genocide
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 June 2014
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Figures
- List of Tables
- List of Contributors
- Introduction
- 1 Ambiguity aversion and the UK government’s response to swine flu
- 2 Models of governance of public services: empirical and behavioural analysis of ‘econs’ and ‘humans’
- 3 From irresponsible knaves to responsible knights for just 5p: behavioural public policy and the environment
- 4 The more who die, the less we care: psychic numbing and genocide
- 5 Healthy habits: some thoughts on the role of public policy in healthful eating and exercise under limited rationality
- 6 Confessing one’s sins but still committing them: transparency and the failure of disclosure
- 7 How should people be rewarded for their work?
- 8 Influencing the financial behaviour of individuals: the mindspace way
- 9 Decision analysis from a neo-Calvinist point of view
- Index
- References
Summary
A defining element of catastrophes is the magnitude of their harmful consequences. To help society prevent or mitigate damage from catastrophes, immense effort and technological sophistication are often employed to assess and communicate the size and scope of potential or actual losses. This effort assumes that people can understand the resulting numbers and act on them appropriately.
However, recent behavioural research casts doubt on this fundamental assumption. Many people do not understand large numbers. Indeed, large numbers have been found to lack meaning and to be underweighted in decisions unless they convey affect (feeling). As a result, there is a paradox that rational models of decision-making fail to represent. On the one hand, we respond strongly to aid a single individual in need. On the other hand, we often fail to prevent mass tragedies – such as genocide – or take appropriate measures to reduce potential losses from natural disasters. This might seem irrational but we think this occurs, in part, because as numbers get larger and larger, we become insensitive; numbers fail to trigger the emotion or feeling necessary to motivate action.
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Behavioural Public Policy , pp. 94 - 114Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2013
References
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