Under some mild conditions, the strong consistency and complete consistency of the LS estimators in the errors-in-variable regression model with weakly negative dependent errors are obtained, which generalize the corresponding ones for negatively associated random variables. In addition, the simulation study shows that the biases of our method are small, and our method performs well.

We consider a drift parameter estimation problem when the state process is a reflected fractional Brownian motion (RFBM) with a nonzero drift parameter and the observation is the associated local time process. The RFBM process arises as the key approximating process for queueing systems with long-range dependent and self-similar input processes, where the drift parameter carries the physical meaning of the surplus service rate and plays a central role in the heavy-traffic approximation theory for queueing systems. We study a statistical estimator based on the cumulative local time process and establish its strong consistency and asymptotic normality.

We consider some single-server queues with general service disciplines, where the family of the queueing processes are parameterized by the service time distributions. Through the smoothed perturbation analysis (SPA) technique, we present under some mild conditions a unified approach to give the strongly consistent estimator for the gradient of the steady-state mean sojourn time with respect to the parameter of service time distributions, provided that it exists. Although the implementation of the SPA requires the additional sub-paths in general, the derived estimator is given as suitable for single-run computation. Simulation results are presented for queues with non-preemptive and preemptive-resume priority disciplines which demonstrate the performance of our estimators.

Consider a time-homogeneous Markov branching process. We construct reduced processes, based on whether the length of line of descent of particles of this process are (a) greater than or (b) at most equal to, τ units of time, for some fixed τ ≧ 0. We show that in both cases the reduced processes retain the branching property, but the latter does not retain the time homogeneity. We investigate finite-time and asymptotic properties of the reduced processes. Based on a realization of the original process and a realization of a reduced process, observed continuously over a time interval [0, T] for T > 0, we propose estimators for the different parameters involved, including qτ, the probability that the original process becomes extinct before τ units of time, and f(j)(qτ), the jth derivative of the offspring probability generating function f(s) at qτ when qτ is known. We study the properties of these estimators and derive their asymptotic distributions, under the assumption that the original process is supercritical.

Traditional methods for detecting the hidden frequencies in white or coloured noise is based on the distribution of periodogram ordinates Ι (2πj/N) and hypothesis testing. The power is low when a hidden frequency falls midway between two 2nj/N and it is difficult to discuss the consistency of the procedures. Using theorems on almost sure convergence of the periodogram, this paper offers a procedure for detecting and estimating the hidden frequencies, and discusses the consistency and the rates of convergence. Simulation shows very good results, when the spectrum of the noise is not too steep.

This paper presents a review of recent results for the identification of ARMA processes according to the principles introduced by Akaike, i.e. assuming that the true orders exist and proposing criteria such as AIC and BIC. The development both of these methods and of consistency theory has been led by E. J. Hannan.

This paper establishes the strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of discrete- and continuous-time Markov branching processes with immigration. The asymptotic distributions of the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of a Galton–Watson branching process with immigration are also obtained.

The paper investigates some properties of the first-order bilinear time series model: stationarity and invertibility. Estimates of the parameters are obtained by a modified least squares method and shown to be strongly consistent.

Three related estimators are considered for the parametrized spectral density of a discrete-time process X(n), n = 1, 2, · · ·, when observations are not available for all the values n = 1(1)N. Each of the estimators is obtained by maximizing a frequency domain approximation to a Gaussian likelihood, although they do not appear to be the most efficient estimators available because they do not fully utilize the information in the process a(n) which determines whether X(n) is observed or missed. One estimator, called M3, assumes that the second-order properties of a(n) are known; another, M2, lets these be known only up to an unknown parameter vector; the third, M1, requires no model for a(n). Under representative sets of conditions, which allow for both deterministic and stochastic a(n), the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of M1, M2, and M3 are established. The conditions needed for consistency when X(n) is an autoregressive moving-average process are discussed in more detail. It is also shown that in general M1 and M3 are equally efficient asymptotically and M2 is never more efficient, and may be less efficient, than M1 and M3.

Given an i.i.d. sequence X1,X2, … with common distribution function (d.f.) F, the usual non-parametric estimator of F is the e.d.f. Fn; where Uo is the d.f. of the unit mass at zero. An admissible perturbation of the e.d.f., say , is obtained if Uo is replaced by a d.f. , where is a sequence of d.f.'s converging weakly to Uo. Such perturbed e.d.f.′s arise quite naturally as integrals of non-parametric density estimators, e.g. as . It is shown that if F satisfies some smoothness conditions and the perturbation is not too drastic then ‘has the Chung–Smirnov property'; i.e., with probability one, 1. But if the perturbation is too vigorous then this property is lost: e.g., if F is the uniform distribution and Hn is the d.f. of the unit mass at n–α then the above lim sup is ≦ 1 or = ∞, depending on whether or

Some minor corrections to Heyde and Seneta (1972) are made, and new convergence rate results given. Estimation by recurrence methods is discussed, as announced earlier.

This paper deals with the simple Galton-Watson process with immigration, {Xn} with offspring probability generating function (p.g.f.) F(s) and immigration p.g.f. B(s), under the basic assumption that the process is subcritical (0 < m ≡ F'(1–) < 1), and that 0 < λ ≡ B'(1–) < ∞, 0 < B(0) < 1, together with various other moment assumptions as needed. Estimation theory for the rates m and λ on the basis of a single terminated realization of the process {Xn} is developed, in that (strongly) consistent estimators for both m and λ are obtained, together with associated central limit theorems in relation to m and μ ≡ λ(1–m)–1 Following this, historical antecedents are analysed, and some examples of application of the estimation theory are discussed, with particular reference to the continuous-time branching process with immigration. The paper also contains a strong law for martingales; and discusses relation of the above theory to that of a first order autoregressive process.