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1 results

  • Predicting the potential invasive distributions of four alien plant species in North America

  • A. Townsend Peterson, Monica Papes, Daniel A. Kluza
  • Journal:
    Weed Science / Volume 51 / Issue 6 / December 2003
    Published online by Cambridge University Press:
    20 January 2017, pp. 863-868

  • Ecological niche modeling, a new methodology for predicting the geographic course of species' invasions, was tested based on four invasive plant species (garlic mustard, sericea lespedeza, Russian olive, and hydrilla) in North America. Models of ecological niches and geographic distributions on native distributional areas (Europe and Asia) were highly statistically significant. Projections for each species to North America—effectively predictions of invasive potential—were highly coincident with areas of known invasions. Hence, in each case, the geographic invasive potential was well summarized in a predictive sense; this methodology holds promise for development of control and eradication strategies and for risk assessment for species' invasions.