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Scientists and philosophers of science are most impressed by theories that make successful, novel predictions: that predict surprising facts in advance of their experimental or observational confirmation. There is a theory of cosmology that has repeatedly been successful in this privileged way, but it is not the standard, or 𝚲CDM, model. It is Mordehai Milgrom’s MOND theory (MOdified Newtonian Dynamics). Unlike the standard model, MOND does not postulate the existence of dark matter. Observations that are explained in the standard model by invoking dark matter are explained in MOND by postulating a change in the laws of gravity and motion.
In 1983, the physicist Mordehai Milgrom initiated a new research program in cosmology, called MOND (for MOdified Newtonian Dynamics), or Milgromian dynamics. In three papers, Milgrom proposed a set of postulates describing how Newton’s laws of gravity and motion should be changed in regimes of very low acceleration. Milgrom’s postulates were designed to explain the asymptotic flatness of galaxy rotation curves, without the necessity of postulating the existence of “dark matter”. Milgrom showed that a number of other, novel predictions follow from his three postulates, and proposed these predictions as tests of the theory. Milgrom also proposed a set of guiding principles for how his nascent theory should be developed toward a more complete theory of gravity and cosmology.
Dark matter is a fundamental component of the standard cosmological model, but in spite of four decades of increasingly sensitive searches, no-one has yet detected a single dark-matter particle in the laboratory. An alternative cosmological paradigm exists: MOND (Modified Newtonian Dynamics). Observations explained in the standard model by postulating dark matter are described in MOND by proposing a modification of Newton's laws of motion. Both MOND and the standard model have had successes and failures – but only MOND has repeatedly predicted observational facts in advance of their discovery. In this volume, David Merritt outlines why such predictions are considered by many philosophers of science to be the 'gold standard' when it comes to judging a theory's validity. In a world where the standard model receives most attention, the author applies criteria from the philosophy of science to assess, in a systematic way, the viability of this alternative cosmological paradigm.
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