We develop a model of optimal productivity growth under
demand fluctuations. We consider two alternative hypotheses. First,
we assume that productivity growth is costly in terms of current
production. Second, we assume that the cost of productivity
improvements is independent of current production. It is shown that,
in the first case, productivity improvements will be countercyclical
whereas, in the second case, they will be procyclical. The model then
is used to study the impact of the frequency and amplitude of
fluctuations on long-run growth. The results corresponding to the
first hypothesis are shown to be consistent with recent empirical
work.