Modern industry is concerned about extending the lifetime of
its critical processes and maintaining them only when required.
Significant aspects of these trends include the ability to diagnose
impending failures, prognosticate the remaining useful lifetime
of the process and schedule maintenance operations so that uptime
is maximized. Prognosis is probably the most difficult of the
three issues leading to condition-based maintenance (CBM). This
paper attempts to address this challenging problem with
intelligence-oriented techniques, specifically dynamic wavelet
neural networks (DWNNs). DWNNs incorporate temporal information
and storage capacity into their functionality so that they can
predict into the future, carrying out fault prognostic tasks.
Such fundamental issues as the network structure, learning
algorithms, stability analysis, uncertainty management, and
performance assessment are studied in a theoretical framework.
An example is presented in which a trained DWNN successfully
prognoses a defective bearing with a crack in its inner race.