A common approach when studying the quality of representation involves comparing the latent preferences of voters and legislators, commonly obtained by fitting an item response theory (IRT) model to a common set of stimuli. Despite being exposed to the same stimuli, voters and legislators may not share a common understanding of how these stimuli map onto their latent preferences, leading to differential item functioning (DIF) and incomparability of estimates. We explore the presence of DIF and incomparability of latent preferences obtained through IRT models by reanalyzing an influential survey dataset, where survey respondents expressed their preferences on roll call votes that U.S. legislators had previously voted on. To do so, we propose defining a Dirichlet process prior over item response functions in standard IRT models. In contrast to typical multistep approaches to detecting DIF, our strategy allows researchers to fit a single model, automatically identifying incomparable subgroups with different mappings from latent traits onto observed responses. We find that although there is a group of voters whose estimated positions can be safely compared to those of legislators, a sizeable share of surveyed voters understand stimuli in fundamentally different ways. Ignoring these issues can lead to incorrect conclusions about the quality of representation.

This paper provides tools for the study of the Dirichlet random walk in Rd. We compute explicitly, for a number of cases, the distribution of the random variable W using a form of Stieltjes transform of W instead of the Laplace transform, replacing the Bessel functions with hypergeometric functions. This enables us to simplify some existing results, in particular, some of the proofs by Le Caër (2010), (2011). We extend our results to the study of the limits of the Dirichlet random walk when the number of added terms goes to ∞, interpreting the results in terms of an integral by a Dirichlet process. We introduce the ideas of Dirichlet semigroups and Dirichlet infinite divisibility and characterize these infinite divisible distributions in the sense of Dirichlet when they are concentrated on the unit sphere of Rd.

Let X, B, and Y be the Dirichlet, Bernoulli, and beta-independent random variables such that X ~ D(a0, …, ad), Pr(B = (0, …, 0, 1, 0, …, 0)) = ai / a with a = ∑i=0dai, and Y ~ β(1, a). Then, as proved by Sethuraman (1994), X ~ X(1 - Y) + BY. This gives the stationary distribution of a simple Markov chain on a tetrahedron. In this paper we introduce a new distribution on the tetrahedron called a quasi-Bernoulli distribution Bk(a0, …, ad) with k an integer such that the above result holds when B follows Bk(a0, …, ad) and when Y ~ β(k, a). We extend it even more generally to the case where X and B are random probabilities such that X is Dirichlet and B is quasi-Bernoulli. Finally, the case where the integer k is replaced by a positive number c is considered when a0 = · · · = ad = 1.

We introduce a class of Bayesian infinite mixture models first introduced by Lo (1984) to determine the credibility premium for a non-homogeneous insurance portfolio. The Bayesian infinite mixture models provide us with much flexibility in the specification of the claim distribution. We employ the sampling scheme based on a weighted Chinese restaurant process introduced in Lo et al. (1996) to estimate a Bayesian infinite mixture model from the claim data. The Bayesian sampling scheme also provides a systematic way to cluster the claim data. This can provide some insights into the risk characteristics of the policyholders. The estimated credibility premium from the Bayesian infinite mixture model can be written as a linear combination of the prior estimate and the sample mean of the claim data. Estimation results for the Bayesian mixture credibility premiums will be presented.

We show in this article how the theory of “rough paths”allows us to construct solutions of differential equations (SDEs) driven by processes generated by divergence-form operators. For that, we use approximations of the trajectories of the stochastic process by piecewise smooth paths. A result of type Wong-Zakai follows immediately.

The traditional Dirichlet process is characterized by its distribution on a measurable partition of the state space - namely, the Dirichlet distribution. In this paper, we consider a generalization of the Dirichlet process and the family of multivariate distributions it induces, with particular attention to a special case where the multivariate density function is tractable.

This is a follow-up of a previous paper by the author, where claims reserving in non-life insurance is treated in the framework of a marked Poisson claims process. A key result on decomposition of the process is generalized, and a number of related results are added. Their usefulness is demonstrated by examples and, in particular, the connection to the analogous discrete time model is clarified. The problem of predicting the outstanding part of reported but not settled claims is revisited and, by way of example, solved in a model where the partial payments are governed by a Dirichlet process. The process of reported claims is examined, and its dual relationship to the process of occurred claims is pointed out.

Minimax estimation procedures for the mean vector of a distribution on a compact set under squared error type loss functions are considered. In particular, a Dirichlet process prior is used to show that a linear function of is a minimax estimator in the class of all measurable estimators and all possible distributions. This effort extends some earlier work of Bühlmann to a more general setting.