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Base rates do not constrain nonprobability judgments
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 04 February 2010
Abstract
Base rates have no necessary relation to judgments that are not themselves probabilities. There is no logical imperative, for instance, that behavioral base rates must affect causal attributions or that base rate information should affect judgments of legal liability. Decision theorists should be cautious in arguing that base rates place normative constraints on judgments of anything other than posterior probabilities.
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- Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1996
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