Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-g7gxr Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-09T08:55:01.700Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

9 - Representing Problem Representation

from Part III - Empirical Analysis

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 October 2018

Michael D. Young
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, Ohio State University
Donald A. Sylvan
Affiliation:
Ohio State University
James F. Voss
Affiliation:
University of Pittsburgh
Get access

Summary

Introduction

If we are ever to reconstruct the path to the Cold War's end and sort out the relative validity of rival theories concerning the impact of its many discrete contributing causes, we, thus, will need to map the cognitive terrain of the actors in the process first. In this way we could describe the decision calculus of those who orchestrated the Cold War's end and trace the balance between “opportunity and willingness” in these policy makers’ conceptualizations of the structural possibilities of their environments and their decision structures. From these data, we could estimate the accuracy of their images. And the images themselves could be placed into a dynamic process model that visualizes the contributing factors colliding and influencing one another at certain points and not at others, with some factors moving together but not affecting one another and other factors in constant interaction. Such a map of the conceptual terrain would chart the ways in which the [factors] were perceived by Soviet leaders in the flow of changing circumstances as the Cold War perished. - Charles Kegley (1994: 35)

In Part I of this volume, James Voss presents a discussion of problem representation as it fits into the problem-solving framework. Voss also discusses several problems with the problem-solving model (the need for a metric, lack of application to groups and organizations, defining constraints and assessing their importance, how information is retrieved and used, the difficulty of prediction), which, at their heart, point to the difficulty of building appropriate models without knowing the content of particular problem representations or the processes of reasoning used. To move forward, as Charles Kegley notes, we need to “map the cognitive terrain” and build “dynamic process models.” That is, we need to build carefully representations (models) of the problem representations of individuals whose policy choices we seek to explain and predict. Furthermore, these representations provide one set of inputs for dynamic process models, with other inputs coming from the policy makers’ environment. Representing problem representations provides a basis for solving the “problems of problem solving” and provides meaning to discussions of change by suggesting mechanisms for change. A useful strategy for accomplishing these goals is a combination of careful content analysis and computational modeling, which also offers a reasonable hope of prediction in addition to understanding.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1998

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×