Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 May 2015
Until now we have focused our attention on variance, or equivalently, standard deviation of the return, as a tool for measuring risk. The standard deviation measures the spread of the random future return from its mean. In portfolio selection we seek to minimise the variance while maximising the return. However, an investor, seeking to measure the risk inherent in an asset he holds, is naturally more concerned to place a bound on his potential losses, while remaining relaxed about possible high levels of profit. Thus one looks for risk measures which focus on the downside risk, that is, measures concerned with the lower tail of the distribution of the return. Variance and standard deviation are symmetric, so they are not good candidates in this search.
In looking for quantitative measures of the overall risk in a portfolio, we seek a statistic which can be applied universally, enabling us to compare the risks of different types of risky portfolio. Ideally, we look for a number (or set of numbers) that expresses the potential loss with a given level of confidence, enabling the risk manager to adjudge the risk as acceptable or not.
In the wake of spectacular financial collapses in the early 1990s at Barings Bank and Orange County, Value at Risk (henceforth abbreviated as VaR) became a standard benchmark for measuring financial risk.
To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure [email protected] is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.
Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.
Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.
To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.