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7 - Resource Curses, Global Volatility, and Crises

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Mahmoud A. El-Gamal
Affiliation:
Rice University, Houston
Amy Myers Jaffe
Affiliation:
Rice University, Houston
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Summary

Hyman Minsky wrote during the late twentieth century, explaining why political rhetoric has masked the financial forces that have caused significant amplification of economic cycles since the collapse of the Bretton-Woods system. The primary target of his attack was the (still) dominant neoclassical school of economic thought, which has continued to deny many of the economic dimensions of the financial crisis that started during 2008 as “myths.” In criticizing this neoclassical school's adoption of “real business cycle” models that abstract from cycles driven by financial markets, Minsky wrote:

A theory that denies what is happening can happen, sees unfavorable events as the work of evil outside forces (such as the oil crisis) rather than as the result of characteristics of the economic mechanism, may satisfy politicians' need for a villain or scapegoat, but such a theory offers no useful guide to a solution of the problem. …

The economic instability so evident since the late 1960s is the result of the fragile financial system that emerged from cumulative changes in financial relations and institutions of the years following World War II.

In writing this book, we have at times focused on Minsky's favorite link between economic activity and financial market structure and regulation. However, we have also suggested, perhaps in the same spirit, that understanding the overall cycle, and the potential for severe crises if the cycle was not regulated properly, would require understanding the links to resource economics, especially energy markets, and geopolitical developments in the part of the world where most of those resources are located.

Type
Chapter
Information
Oil, Dollars, Debt, and Crises
The Global Curse of Black Gold
, pp. 143 - 170
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2009

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