Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- 1 Introduction
- 2 King crab dethroned
- 3 The rise and fall of the California sardine empire
- 4 El Niño and variability in the northeastern Pacific salmon fishery: implications for coping with climate change
- 5 The US Gulf shrimp fishery
- 6 The menhaden fishery: interactions of climate, industry, and society
- 7 Maine lobster industry
- 8 Human responses to weather-induced catastrophes in a west Mexican fishery
- 9 Irruption of sea lamprey in the upper Great Lakes: analogous events to those that may follow climate warming
- 10 North Sea herring fluctuations
- 11 Atlanto-Scandian herring: a case study
- 12 Global warming impacts on living marine resources: Anglo-Icelandic Cod Wars as an analogy
- 13 Adjustments of Polish fisheries to changes in the environment
- 14 Climate-dependent fluctuations in the Far Eastern sardine population and their impacts on fisheries and society
- 15 The Peru–Chile eastern Pacific fisheries and climatic oscillation
- 16 Climate change, the Indian Ocean tuna fishery, and empiricism
- 17 Climate variability, climate change, and fisheries: a summary
- Index
17 - Climate variability, climate change, and fisheries: a summary
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 13 October 2009
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- 1 Introduction
- 2 King crab dethroned
- 3 The rise and fall of the California sardine empire
- 4 El Niño and variability in the northeastern Pacific salmon fishery: implications for coping with climate change
- 5 The US Gulf shrimp fishery
- 6 The menhaden fishery: interactions of climate, industry, and society
- 7 Maine lobster industry
- 8 Human responses to weather-induced catastrophes in a west Mexican fishery
- 9 Irruption of sea lamprey in the upper Great Lakes: analogous events to those that may follow climate warming
- 10 North Sea herring fluctuations
- 11 Atlanto-Scandian herring: a case study
- 12 Global warming impacts on living marine resources: Anglo-Icelandic Cod Wars as an analogy
- 13 Adjustments of Polish fisheries to changes in the environment
- 14 Climate-dependent fluctuations in the Far Eastern sardine population and their impacts on fisheries and society
- 15 The Peru–Chile eastern Pacific fisheries and climatic oscillation
- 16 Climate change, the Indian Ocean tuna fishery, and empiricism
- 17 Climate variability, climate change, and fisheries: a summary
- Index
Summary
Because we are concerned about what might be the local and regional effects of and responses to a global climate change, there is a need at the outset to identify how well societies have in the past dealt with local climate-related environmental changes, regardless of cause. Such an identification will provide researchers as well as policymakers with societal baseline data. To know how best to prepare for future changes, we must know how well we cope with present-day changes, identifying societal strengths and weaknesses. To accomplish this, the “forecasting by analogy” approach is used, not to forecast future states of the atmosphere or the ocean, but to forecast how well prepared societies are to cope with changes in abundance or availability of living marine resources, regardless of the causes of those regional changes.
Fish populations are influenced by many elements of their natural environments during all phases of their life cycle. Subtle changes in key environmental variables such as temperature, salinity, wind speed and direction, ocean currents, strength of upwelling, as well as predators, can sharply alter their abundance, distribution and availability. Human activities can also affect the sustainability of these populations through, for example, the application of a variety of management schemes or new technologies, each of which could have a different (either beneficial or adverse) impact on the state of the fishery.
Interactions within the marine environment are acknowledged to be extremely complex.
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- Climate Variability, Climate Change and Fisheries , pp. 417 - 438Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1992
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