Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Maps
- Contributors
- Acknowledgements
- Abbreviations
- Map
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The return of imperial Russia
- 3 The shape of the security order in the former USSR
- 4 Great powers and small wars in the Caucasus
- 5 The Russo-Georgian war
- 6 Why not more conflict in the former USSR?
- 7 Transnational crime, corruption and conflict in Russia and the former USSR
- 8 The transformation of war?
- 9 Conclusions
- Bibliography
- Index
- References
9 - Conclusions
The future of conflict in the former USSR
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 05 November 2012
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- Maps
- Contributors
- Acknowledgements
- Abbreviations
- Map
- 1 Introduction
- 2 The return of imperial Russia
- 3 The shape of the security order in the former USSR
- 4 Great powers and small wars in the Caucasus
- 5 The Russo-Georgian war
- 6 Why not more conflict in the former USSR?
- 7 Transnational crime, corruption and conflict in Russia and the former USSR
- 8 The transformation of war?
- 9 Conclusions
- Bibliography
- Index
- References
Summary
It is rare that specific conclusions about a book’s subject matter can be drawn from an edited collection of this type. Certainly, the contributors to this volume would not agree on a rank order of causes for the different conflicts that have occurred on the territory of the former USSR. Nor would we necessarily agree on which of the wars since 1991 are more significant than others, and we would not be able to articulate a common position on the most appropriate way to resolve conflict in the former Soviet space. Such is the nature of academic discourse. So too is it the nature of war itself, which can be prompted by myriad structural, political, economic, social, ideational and technological forces, sometimes in easily recognisable patterns, and sometimes not. Yet it is instructive that all the chapters in this book find common ground on one key area: the prospects for future conflict. Each contribution explicitly notes that the conditions that can give rise to conflict have not been ameliorated in the two decades since the collapse of the USSR. In fact, it can be argued that they have actually grown more acute in some cases. There are several reasons for this, each of which has been addressed in more detail in specific chapters. Perhaps the most significant has been the inability of former Soviet states – whether due to material weakness, failure to construct appropriate domestic and regional institutions, competing interests, polarised identities, or a mix of these – to address the root causes of regional conflict.
The obvious inference to be drawn from this is that conflict will remain a fact of life in the geopolitical space once occupied by the USSR. But this prompts new questions, which – at the risk of over-speculation – should nonetheless be addressed, based on what we know about the type, frequency and causes of war in the region. For instance, what form will conflict in the former USSR take in the future? What will be its primary drivers? What effect will conflict have on broader global power configurations? And, finally, in what areas might the conditions for war be lessened, and is there any evidence that this is occurring?
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Conflict in the Former USSR , pp. 195 - 209Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2012